After 15 years, India will supersede China as the most populous country
[2023-06-03 05:48:53]
According to a report released on Friday by the United Nations, the population of India is expected to exceed 2028 in China
The report 'World Population Forecast: 2012 Revision' predicts that the world's population will reach 6 billion by 2050, especially the highest growth rate in the developing regions of Africa.
"2 billion people in the current world are expected to increase to nearly 1 billion in the next 12 years, 1 billion people in 2025, and 6 billion by 2050," the Delhi UN office said in a statement Stated.
From now until 2050, the majority of the overall growth is expected to occur in countries with high birth rates, mainly in Africa, countries with high population such as India, Indonesia, Pakistan, the Philippines and the United States.
The population of India will continue to increase for decades, reaching about 6 billion people and then slowly to 5 billion people in 2100.
Meanwhile, the population of China will begin to decline after 2030, and it is expected to reach 1 billion by 2100.
Wu Hong Bo of the United Nations economic and social affairs deputy director says,
The report predicts that life expectancy will increase worldwide as the average life expectancy of developed and developing countries is expected to increase over the next few years.
"In the 20th century I saw the worst drop in mortality in human history, the life expectancy at birth increased from 47 years old in 1950 to 55 years to 69 years old in 2005-10," said the world as a whole. "
Report data is based on a comprehensive review of existing demographics data around the world, including 2010 censorship.
India has provided important criteria to developing countries like population-rich China. In 2014, 9% of the population of China is over 65 years old and 17% of the population was between 0 and 15 years old. In contrast, only 5% of the population of India is over 65 years old and 29% of the population is under 15 years old. UN projects India will pass through China and by 2022 will become the world's most populous country. Since the aging rate of China will exceed the aging rate of India in the coming decades, India's working population will increase compared to China and India may receive "demographic dividend". Absolutely, the working age population of India is expected to exceed that of China between 2020 and 2030. This could lead to the transfer of employment in manufacturing from China to India, which traditionally is behind India.
Therefore, by 2050, the population of China, India, Indonesia, Nigeria, Pakistan, and the United States is expected to increase by 300 million. Especially Nigeria is expected to become the third most populous country in the next decades, probably in the 2040s, after India and China. Therefore, baby's droughts will occur in Western countries where energy consumption, new indicator technology, automation will affect society, but in other places the population dramatically increases, Indonesia, Pakistan and Brazil are global Because of that, it leads to a new consumption pattern. As well as India itself, the economy is becoming increasingly important. Therefore, while the US population is declining, the rapid growth of Nigeria will cause some concern. In India and Pakistan, restraining population growth may continue to be difficult, and as I saw in 2018, there are problems of negative growth and a sudden drop in birthrate in East Asia.