Study on Correlation Factors that Influence Terrorist Attack Fatalities Using Global Terrorism Database☆

Deepening your understanding of terrorist attacks and the relationship between death and influential factors will help improve the decision to allocate resources in the fight against terrorism. Mortality rate is divided into 4 levels: 1 to 2, 3 to 9, 10 to 29 and 30 or more. This paper uses a new correspondence analysis method to investigate the relationship between terrorist attacks and factors. The extent of death from terrorist attacks is influenced by the country, region, weapons, attack type and target. Factors leading to high mortality rates have been identified. While these attacks result in a death rate of more than 30 in developing countries and regions, death rates are often low in developed countries such as North America and Western Europe. Attacks of incendiary bombs and weapons of mass destruction (biological, chemical, radiological, nuclear) often result in relatively high mortality. The types of attacks against hijacking, roadblock events, facility / infrastructure attacks are closely related to mortality rate 30. As with maritime airports and airlines are likely to cause very high mortality compared to other targets. These results will help to clarify the cause of death in terrorist attacks.

Certainly, dozens of terrorist attacks have occurred in recent years, but how do they spread all over the world? The Global Terrorism Database (GTD) keeps track of terrorism-related deaths in 160 countries from 2005 through 2014. In some cases of ongoing wars including Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, the GTD sometimes confuses terrorists with conflict-related deaths. The author of the database will do his utmost to avoid this, but it can not be avoided. Some alternative data sets apply more stringent inclusion criteria, but they are not widely covered and have drawbacks. Considering the prevalence may be more useful than focusing on the absolute number of violent deaths.

Deepening your understanding of terrorist attacks and the relationship between death and influential factors will help improve the decision to allocate resources in the fight against terrorism. Mortality rate is divided into 4 levels: 1 to 2, 3 to 9, 10 to 29 and 30 or more. This paper uses a new correspondence analysis method to investigate the relationship between terrorist attacks and factors. The extent of death from terrorist attacks is influenced by the country, region, weapons, attack type and target. Factors leading to high mortality rates have been identified. While these attacks result in a death rate of more than 30 in developing countries and regions, death rates are often low in developed countries such as North America and Western Europe. Attacks of incendiary bombs and weapons of mass destruction (biological, chemical, radiological, nuclear) often result in relatively high mortality.

Use global terrorism database to investigate factors that affect terrorist attack ☆

Based on the data and definitions published by the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) between 1970 and 2016, we see the number of deaths caused by the terrorist attacks of the United States on the chart below. Almost all of 46 years, we found that the number of deaths per year is usually within the range of one or tens of fatalities. Approximately 3,000 people died due to terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001, most of which are close to this figure; the number of deaths due to GTD is reported to be 3005 people. In light of this trend of 40 to 50 years, this is a dramatic outlier. Within a year, the number of deaths has increased by 2 to 3 orders of magnitude. Most of the cause of death did not appear to be such a sharp peak