Revisiting Delphi Technique in Fire Safety

Introduction In this article, Shields, TJ. , Silocock, W .; G, and Donegan, A .; H (1990) developed a fire protection system assessment for public meetings for Delphi technology. According to Delphi's technology, the introduction of an analytical hierarchical process is a major advance in the field of fire safety, especially in evaluating its solution. As a result of appropriate investigation, AHP (Analytical Hierarchy Process) is a tool for building fire safety, and it is strongly recognized that it is effective for all fire safety in general.

Delphi technology is a tool used in many research fields. (Nworie, 2011), Delphi technology is a research method to extract, collect and identify opinions from a group of experts in a specific field. This tool is used to make predictions and decisions based on expert opinion on panelists who participated in the research after having an expert agreement. This method of investigation is considered important because it is based on the premise that the quality of the collective opinion of the members of the hard working group is richer than the limited opinion of the individual.

Delphi technology and time series forecasting are valuable forecasting tools in the right environment. Delphi technology is useful for short-term forecasting. This ability depends on the expert's familiarity with specific issues (Namvar, 2000, p. 8). As with all other qualitative technologies, one of the main problems with Delphi technology is to identify experts and make expert opinion and judgment, then agree on these forecasts with these experts It is to do.

Delphi's technology requires continued involvement of its members. Therefore, dropping out of members is dangerous. The views and judgments gathered through Delphi's technology are inherently subjective. Therefore, in some cases, the accuracy and completeness of the data may be uncertain. In addition, if Delphi technology runs in the mail, especially if the panel is in a different country, processing may take some time. If you use Delphi's method by e-mail, you need to allocate data to collect data within 1 to 3 months. You also need written communication skills. It is easy for people to confuse or misunderstand these ideas if their written communication skills are weak.