Essay sample library > Philippine economy to sustain growth momentum – First Metro

Philippine economy to sustain growth momentum – First Metro

2023-06-25 08:00:45

Philippines, Manila - First Metro Investment Corporation (FMIC) maintains an optimistic view on the Philippine economy despite political noise

"Domestic strong demand continues to drive economic growth, thanks to double-digit investment growth, strong infrastructure investment, more employment opportunities, manufacturing recovery and increased tourist numbers," he said.

However, First Metro expects the inflation rate will stabilize between 2% and 5% later this year. This range is not a target range of 2% to 4% of Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), but it is lower than the highest value of 2% in June for 5 years

FMIC said the inflation rate will gradually decline in the second half of this year due to "the possibility of declining crude oil prices and the decline in rice price after imports arrived in June".

Investment companies also predict that remittances from overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) will maintain 2% to 4% growth in 2018. Cash remittances decreased from 8% in March to 12.7% in April.

Despite the worsening trade deficit due to poor exports during the first five months of 2018, the FMIC said that recovery in the US, EU, China and Japan would boost Philippine exports within the next few months .

On the other hand, imports are expected to maintain double-digit growth of 10% to 14% due to strong capital investment and an increase in oil imports.

Arjonillo said the Philippine peso is still weak and could trade on average $ 53.90.90 per dollar.

"The devaluation of the peso is actually not bad compared to the economy like us.In fact, the short-term and medium term influence is positive, weak pesos hinder import, produce more exports, Decrease trade, rebellion, "he said

FMIC believes that another policy implemented by the BSP will raise interest rates by up to 50 basis points in relation to the rise in inflation.

At the same time, the investment company expects the Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi) to strengthen this year. It recovers from 7,900 to 8,200 and expects EPS growth of 11.5%, 18-19 times price-earnings ratio (PE). - Rappler.com

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