Does Your Vote Really Count? Why the Act of Voting is Irrational

If the 2008 presidential election is some guidelines, your opportunity to vote in California will be small. It is very slim. According to a study by Berkeley Law and Economics professor Aaron Edlin et al., One billionth of a billion

The researchers make their estimates based on the probability of multiplying the election elections in your country by the probability that the election will be elected in the state. Because the population of the country is increasing, it will be more important in election voting, but elections are rarely carried out. However, the more people vote, the less likely it is to vote. According to the survey, the national average is about 60 million

Given these possibilities, Edin said that most economists believe that voting is unreasonable. Edlin, dissatisfied with this consensus, began to investigate the costs and benefits of voting to see if it could justify the reasons and reasons for voting. "As the elections progressed, of course, I noticed that you had less opportunity to make a difference, but there are situations where more people will be affected by the election."

Mr. Edlin said that if a person votes to support public interest, they will vote entirely reasonably regardless of the size of the election. In the general election, you may have a big impact on many people. For example, the presidential election in the United States has global influence. Voters can help implement policies that provide social services, foreign policy, tax cuts and other government allowances by electing specific candidates.

Rational models are not applicable to those who are not interested in public interest. "People who care about themselves can stay at home," Edrin said. A reasonable model suggests that in a large election the possibility of your voting and your personal potential interests are so small that the 15 minutes necessary for voting is of little value . Edlin said the same can be said for landslide elections.

All of these bring us back to California, which may be the state where the Democratic presidential candidate won. In this state your vote is only one tenth of a definitive chance. However, Mr. Edrin said the voters should not be discouraged, as the voting by voters could potentially influence. Even if it is small, the stake may be large enough to make the vote worthwhile. "You will be very upset if your mother says that your vote has influence and you did not vote," he said.

For the time being: Statistically, your vote is not really in the sense that it will affect the results. Depending on the way the electoral college operates, the degree of voting depends on where you live. No one thinks that you should vote because your specific vote is important, but as many people agree on the overall impact of the vote. It is just an idea. Well, let's return to the primary election. When you think of the presidential election campaign, the imaginary goal line you imagine may be an election. This is the main event, Big Shieban. But for many candidates there is another so-called finish line (exactly the same except 2), the finish line is as important as the election as it decides who can be in the real finish line It can be said. on

Since it is felt that the voting is not counted, it is common to choose not to vote, but most of one vote is truly important. Whether to vote or not will have a big impact on the people around the world. Many of them do not have the right to vote. In local elections and national elections, lawmakers will be elected to create laws, policies, and appointments that will affect in the coming years. The most common reason that people do not vote is that one vote is not important, but it is so. If you do not vote by making an excuse, what kind of government is there?