In the 2018 election, only eight out of 33 seats are in the hands of the Republican Party, so the Democratic Party is already fighting a tough battle in US Senate control. This was a wonderful year for them as the 2012 election was re-elected by Barack Obama. However, Democrats need only acquire two seats from the Republican Party to gain control. As most states do not have large campaigns, it is still premature to conduct reliable surveys by state in the US Senate. So at the moment we can use our similar swing concept for the House and we believe that the Democratic Party has an implied volatility of 8% compared to the 2012 election You can see that it is. Therefore, we are expecting how many seats the Republican Party has in the US Senate, and that the victory will be less.
One side of the game in 2018 was very good for cards and Republicans, it was related to the Senate campaign. The Senate has a term of six years, the 2018 seats are very favorable seats for Republicans. The playing party has 52 seats in the Senate - you think that 34 seats can compete in elections, I think the president may come in a very unfavorable number in November, and the net profit of 3 seats It should be easy. Realize
In the 2018 election, Republicans tried to protect the majority of the Senate who has maintained since the Senate election in 2014. Of the 100 seats in the Senate, 35 seats including 33 seats in total participated in the election. A special election was held to fill the vacant seat in Level 2 Senate seats in Minnesota State and Mississippi State. The first level of the Senate election will be held from January 2019 to January 2025 and the second level special election will be held in January 2021. 24 seats in the election are held by the Democratic Party of which 2 seats are elected. Eight seats were held by Republicans, being held by independence and the Democratic Party. The current three Republican presidents did not seek elections in 2018, and all the Democrats and the Independent Party sought a different term. 42 Republican Senators and 23 Democratic Senators were not elected